Fourth Generation Wireless Should Have Solid Initial Appeal
to Consumers According to a New Harris Interactive Survey
ROCHESTER, N.Y. – December 21, 2006 – 2007 is expected to be an
exciting year for new technology, with the anticipated unveiling of initial
Fourth Generation Wireless Services ("4G") to consumers. 4G will offer
a raft of new choices in the world of wireless services, including even higher
speed mobile Internet access, video and TV in an on-the-go, real time, on-demand
format and new options for networking and entertainment for the home.
Ultimately, 4G will allow consumers to select a single provider to deliver their
entire home, mobile and entertainment services.
As with any new technology, 4G presents a variety of questions and
challenges. Will consumers buy it? How many will buy early and how many will
wait? Given a choice, what companies will consumers prefer to buy from? What are
the motivators and barriers for adoption of the new technology?
With this in mind, Harris Interactive seized an opportunity to explore these
critical questions through an online survey of more than 1,200 U.S. adult
consumers between November 17 and 24, 2006. The company recently presented the
results of this effort through its latest Webinar*, which offered a sneak peak
at consumer reaction and set some expectations for service providers.
The results: Connecting the dots is encouraging and surprising
In this survey, consumers were shown a description of 4G services and asked
for their initial reactions. Early indications show that 4G could be a winner,
with half of adults (49%) finding 4G "appealing" and about one-third
(34%) saying they would likely subscribe to 4G service. Interestingly, about
seven percent of likely subscribers say they would buy "at launch."
So is that early adopter rate a good number or a poor one? The survey also
asked a few benchmarking questions concerning consumers’ early adoption rate
for ANY new technology. Nine percent (9%) of adults say they are willing to pay
a premium for "new" technology and three percent purchase such
products "at launch." This is a highly prized segment for technology
companies to identify and lure with their products. As the 4G early adoption
rate exceeded the benchmark, early returns look good for 4G service providers.
Good news indeed for 4G Marketers!
Initial review indicates that consumers will most likely have a big appetite
for 4G services. So, who are their preferred 4G service providers? The survey
results show Internet providers to be in first place (20%). Surprisingly, second
place could be held by any major technology company, such as Google or Microsoft
among others (16%), which illustrates how wide open this market is and how brand
acceptant consumers are. Closely following are cable companies and traditional
phone companies (15% each) and wireless service providers (14%) - which, in the
end, could spell trouble for this group and leaves the door wide open for new
players to take the lead.
Seventy-seven percent (77%) of likely subscribers made it clear that offering
the service without a binding contract would accelerate their buying 4G services
and 70 percent want a switch-back guarantee without charge. Both most likely
indicate consumers want a safety net to catch them in the event 4G does not
deliver on the service as promised. Placing all your eggs in one service
provider’s basket is scary for many. Additionally, service providers must
address concerns that a single provider can offer the complete bundled package
at a competitive price and mitigate any concerns that wireless delivery quality
could suffer at the hands of inclement weather or other terrain issues.
Conclusion
In general, 4G looks like it is well positioned for a solid market
introduction! Joseph Porus, Vice President and Chief Architect for Harris
Interactive’s Technology Research Practice, views the overall results of the
survey positively. "4G has the early hallmarks of a winner. It offers
everything 3G was supposed to and more. Since consumers are wide open to
consider 4G service providers, look for a wild ride as 4G hits Main
Street!"
* For more information on our Webinars, please visit us at http://www.harrisinteractive.com/services/technology.asp
Methodology
This online survey was conducted within the United States between November 17
and 24, 2006 among 1,259 adults (aged 18 and over). Data were weighted to
reflect the total U.S. online adult population on the basis of region, age
within gender, education, household income, race/ethnicity and amount of time
spent online.
All surveys are subject to several sources of error. These include: sampling
error (because only a sample of a population is interviewed); measurement error
due to question wording and/or question order, deliberately or unintentionally
inaccurate responses, nonresponse (including refusals), interviewer effects
(when live interviewers are used) and weighting.
With one exception (sampling error) the magnitude of the errors that result
cannot be estimated. There is, therefore, no way to calculate a finite
"margin of error" for any survey and the use of these words should be
avoided.
With pure probability samples, with 100 percent response rates, it is
possible to calculate the probability that the sampling error (but not other
sources of error) is not greater than some number. With a pure probability
sample of 1,259, one could say with a 95 percent probability that the overall
results have a sampling error of +/- 2.8 percentage points. Sampling error for
data based on sub-samples may be higher and may vary. However that does not take
other sources of error into account. This online survey is not based on a
probability sample and therefore no theoretical sampling error can be
calculated.
These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National
Council on Public Polls.
About Harris Interactive Technology Research
The Harris Interactive Technology Research group doesn’t just monitor and
measure the industry. It interacts with the thought leaders who drive
technology, telecom and e-business everyday and provides insights from a variety
of vertical perspectives. Using the group’s unique knowledge, experience, and
expertise in both the telecommunications and information technology sectors,
Harris Interactive asks the right questions, confirms business issues, and
designs and implements studies to provide clients with actionable results.
About Harris Interactive
Harris Interactive is the 12th largest and fastest-growing market
research firm in the world. The company provides research-driven insights and
strategic advice to help its clients make more confident decisions which lead to
measurable and enduring improvements in performance. Harris Interactive is
widely known for The Harris Poll, one of the longest running, independent
opinion polls and for pioneering online market research methods. The company has
built what it believes to be the world’s largest panel of survey respondents,
the Harris Poll Online. Harris Interactive serves clients worldwide through its
United States, Europe and Asia offices, its wholly-owned subsidiary Novatris in
France and through a global network of independent market research firms. The
service bureau, HISB, provides its market research industry clients with
mixed-mode data collection, panel development services as well as syndicated and
tracking research consultation. More information about Harris Interactive may be
obtained at www.harrisinteractive.com.
Press Contact:
Michelle Soto
Harris Interactive
585-214-7665
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