New Financial Times/Harris Poll Shows Majorities in Five
Western European Countries Do Not Consider Russia a Democracy
Most Europeans not sure, or do not think that, Vladmir Putin can be
trusted
Many worry that Europe is too heavily dependent on Russia for energy
Europeans view modern-day Russia as more of a partner than threat
Europeans agree more energy supply diversification needed
Substantial numbers in each country support Russia’s continued
membership in G8
General support for Russia’s and Ukraine’s admission into the European
Union
ROCHESTER, N.Y. and LONDON – 15
July 2006 – A new poll of adults in five European
countries, reported in today’s Financial Times, shows that majorities across
those countries do not consider Russia a democracy. The poll indicates, as well,
that majorities in these countries are either unsure or do not think that the
European Union can trust Russia’s leader Vladmir Putin.
Results also show that adults in Italy are more likely than those in France,
Germany, Great Britain or Spain to view modern-day Russia as a democracy, to
support Russia’s continued membership in the G8 and its admission to the EU.
In contrast, Italian respondents are most worried that Western Europe is heavily
depending on Russia for energy supplies and they feel most strongly that Russian
countries should not be allowed to buy energy companies and other leading
businesses in the EU.
These are some of the results of a Financial Times/Harris Poll conducted
online by Harris Interactive® between July 6 and 12, 2006 among
2,623 adults, ages 16 years and over from France, Germany, Great Britain, Italy
and Spain.
Most countries seem to worry that Western Europe is heavily dependent on
Russia for its energy supplies. France is the only country where fewer than half
of adults express this concern. Additionally, majorities across all European
countries surveyed agree that the EU should do more to encourage the
diversification of energy supplies.
Respondents in France and Germany are significantly more likely to oppose
both Russia’s and the Ukraine’s admission into the European Union. In
contrast, respondents in Italy and Spain are significantly more likely to
support their admission into the EU.
Adults in Spain and Germany are more likely to oppose Russia’s continued
membership in the G8 than those among the other European countries surveyed. In
contrast, three-quarters (77%) in Italy support Russia’s continued membership
in the G8. Italian’s, generally, are much more likely to have an opinion about
this matter (only 15% responded "not sure", versus 33% or higher among
those in other countries).
Some other findings of the poll reveal:
- Majorities in each of the five countries consider Gorbachev the best
leader of the Soviet Union/Russia within the past 20 years, when asked to
select among Gorbachev, Putin and Yeltsin. But one in five (20%) in Italy
consider Putin the best leader of the Soviet Union/Russia, which is the
highest percentage of all European countries surveyed.
- In the five European countries surveyed overall 30 percent of adults say
that the U.S. is the greatest threat to global stability, followed by North
Korea (20%) and Iran (17%). Adults in Spain are most likely to view the U.S.
as the greatest threat.
TABLE 1
RUSSIA A DEMOCRACY
"Would you describe Russia as a democracy?"
Base: All European adults
|
|
Total |
Country |
|
Great Britain |
France |
Italy |
Spain |
Germany |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes |
16 |
12 |
13 |
24 |
16 |
15 |
|
No |
59 |
52 |
62 |
57 |
63 |
61 |
|
Not sure |
25 |
36 |
24 |
19 |
21 |
25 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 2
CAN THE EUROPEAN UNION TRUST VLADIMIR PUTIN
"In your opinion, can the European Union trust Vladimir
Putin?"
Base: All European adults
|
|
Total |
Country |
|
Great Britain |
France |
Italy |
Spain |
Germany |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes |
20 |
16 |
13 |
35 |
18 |
20 |
|
No |
36 |
34 |
44 |
31 |
36 |
32 |
|
Not sure |
44 |
50 |
43 |
34 |
46 |
48 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 3
WORRIED THAT WESTERN EUROPE HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON RUSSIA
"Does it worry you, or not, that Western Europe is
heavily dependent on Russia for its energy supplies?"
Base: All European adults
|
|
Total |
Country |
|
Great Britain |
France |
Italy |
Spain |
Germany |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes, worries me |
63 |
66 |
43 |
79 |
73 |
55 |
|
No, does not worry me |
24 |
21 |
31 |
16 |
19 |
32 |
|
Not sure |
13 |
14 |
26 |
4 |
7 |
13 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 4
DIVERSIFICATION OF ENERGY SUPPLIES
"Should the European Union do more to encourage the
diversification of energy supplies, or is it already doing enough?"
Base: All European adults
|
|
Total |
Country |
|
Great Britain |
France |
Italy |
Spain |
Germany |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes, should do more |
77 |
65 |
75 |
86 |
87 |
71 |
|
No, is doing enough |
8 |
10 |
9 |
6 |
6 |
10 |
|
Not sure |
15 |
26 |
16 |
8 |
7 |
19 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 5
RUSSIAN COMPANIES ALLOWED TO BUY ENERGY COMPANIES AND OTHER
LEADING BUSINESSES
"Should Russian companies be allowed to buy energy
companies and other leading businesses in the European Union?"
Base: All European adults
|
|
Total |
Country |
|
Great Britain |
France |
Italy |
Spain |
Germany |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Yes, should be allowed |
23 |
22 |
12 |
20 |
30 |
31 |
|
No |
55 |
57 |
58 |
62 |
51 |
48 |
|
Not sure |
22 |
21 |
30 |
19 |
19 |
21 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 6
MODERN DAY RUSSIA A PARTNER OR THREAT
"In your opinion, is modern-day Russia more of a partner
or a threat?"
Base: All European adults
|
|
Total |
Country |
|
Great Britain |
France |
Italy |
Spain |
Germany |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
More of a partner |
53 |
41 |
46 |
64 |
56 |
56 |
|
More of a threat |
18 |
23 |
19 |
18 |
17 |
12 |
|
Not sure |
29 |
36 |
34 |
18 |
26 |
31 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 7
SUPPORT RUSSIA’S CONTINUED MEMBERSHIP IN G8
"Do you support Russia’s continued membership in the
G8?"
Base: All European adults
|
|
Total |
Country |
|
Great Britain |
France |
Italy |
Spain |
Germany |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Support |
56 |
53 |
51 |
77 |
49 |
49 |
|
Oppose |
12 |
8 |
11 |
8 |
19 |
17 |
|
Not sure |
32 |
39 |
38 |
15 |
33 |
34 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 8
SUPPORT OR OPPOSE RUSSIA’S ADMISSION TO EUROPEAN UNION
"If Russia were to apply to join the European Union, would
you support or oppose its admission?"
Base: All European adults
|
|
Total |
Country |
|
Great Britain |
France |
Italy |
Spain |
Germany |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Support |
45 |
37 |
26 |
64 |
62 |
35 |
|
Oppose |
33 |
26 |
50 |
21 |
22 |
45 |
|
Not sure |
23 |
38 |
23 |
15 |
16 |
20 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 9
SUPPORT OR OPPOSE THE UKRAINE’S ADMISSION TO EUROPEAN UNION
"If the Ukraine were to apply to join the European Union,
would you support or oppose its admission?"
Base: All European adults
|
|
Total |
Country |
|
Great Britain |
France |
Italy |
Spain |
Germany |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Support |
51 |
43 |
36 |
69 |
65 |
43 |
|
Oppose |
25 |
18 |
37 |
18 |
18 |
37 |
|
Not sure |
23 |
38 |
27 |
14 |
16 |
21 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 10
BEST LEADER OF THE SOVIET UNION/RUSSIA WITHIN PAST 20 YEARS
"In your opinion, which of the following leaders has been
the best leader of the Soviet Union/Russia within the past 20 years?"
Base: All European adults
|
|
Total |
Country |
|
Great Britain |
France |
Italy |
Spain |
Germany |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
Gorbachev |
59 |
47 |
56 |
61 |
65 |
68 |
|
Putin |
12 |
10 |
6 |
21 |
12 |
11 |
|
Yeltsin |
4 |
5 |
6 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
|
Not sure |
25 |
38 |
31 |
16 |
20 |
18 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.
TABLE 11
COUNTRIES THAT ARE A THREAT TO GLOBAL STABILITY
"Which, if any, of the following countries do you think
is the greatest threat to global stability?"
Base: All European adults 16+
|
|
Total |
Country |
|
Great Britain |
France |
Italy |
Spain |
Germany |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
|
U.S. |
30 |
28 |
26 |
23 |
46 |
27 |
|
North Korea |
20 |
29 |
23 |
14 |
22 |
13 |
|
Iran |
17 |
10 |
15 |
25 |
11 |
23 |
|
Iraq |
13 |
12 |
14 |
9 |
10 |
21 |
|
China |
12 |
13 |
12 |
23 |
6 |
8 |
|
Russia |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
Other |
2 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
|
None |
5 |
7 |
7 |
3 |
2 |
6 |
Note: Percentages may not add up to exactly 100% due to rounding.
Methodology
This Financial Times/Harris Poll was conducted online within Great Britain,
France, Germany, Italy, and Spain by Harris Interactive between July 6th and
12th, 2006 among 2,623 adults (aged 16 and over). Figures for age, sex,
education, region and Internet usage were weighted where necessary to bring them
into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score
weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.
All surveys are subject to several sources of error. These include: sampling
error (because only a sample of a population is interviewed); measurement error
due to question wording and/or question order, deliberately or unintentionally
inaccurate responses, nonresponse (including refusals), interviewer effects
(when live interviewers are used) and weighting.
With one exception (sampling error) the magnitude of the errors that result
cannot be estimated. There is, therefore, no way to calculate a finite
"margin of error" for any survey and the use of these words should be
avoided.
With pure probability samples, with 100 percent response rates, it is
possible to calculate the probability that the sampling error (but not other
sources of error) is not greater than some number. With a pure probability
sample of 2,623 adults one could say with a ninety-five percent probability that
the overall results have a sampling error of +/-2 percentage point. However that
does not take other sources of error into account. This online survey is not
based on a probability sample and therefore no theoretical sampling error can be
calculated.
About Harris Interactive
Harris Interactive is the 13th largest and fastest-growing market
research firm in the world. The company provides research-driven insights and
strategic advice to help its clients make more confident decisions which lead to
measurable and enduring improvements in performance. Harris Interactive is
widely known for The Harris Poll, one of the longest running, independent
opinion polls and for pioneering online market research methods. The company has
built what could conceivably be the world’s largest panel of survey
respondents, the Harris Poll Online. Harris Interactive serves clients worldwide
through its United States, Europe and Asia offices, its wholly-owned subsidiary
Novatris in France and through a global network of independent market research
firms. The service bureau, HISB, provides its market research industry clients
with mixed-mode data collection, panel development services as well as
syndicated and tracking research consultation. More information about Harris
Interactive may be obtained at www.harrisinteractive.com.
To become a member of the Harris Poll Online, visit
www.harrispollonline.com.
Contact:
Nancy Wong
+1-585-214-7316
nwong@harrisinteractive.com
Harris Interactive Inc. 07/06
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